Brief

Summary:

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has released preliminary data on India's balance of payments (BoP) for the second quarter (Q2) of 2023-24. Key highlights include:

Current Account Deficit (CAD) narrowed down to $8.3 billion (1.0% of GDP) in Q2 2023-24, lower than $9.2 billion (1.1% of GDP) in Q1 2023-24 and $30.9 billion (3.8% of GDP) in Q2 2022-23.
Merchandise trade deficit narrowed down to $61.0 billion from $78.3 billion in Q2 2022-23.
Services exports grew by 4.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) on the back of rising exports of software, business, and travel services.
Net services receipts increased both sequentially and y-o-y.
Net outgo on the primary income account increased to $12.2 billion from $11.8 billion a year ago, mainly due to payments of investment income.
Private transfer receipts, mainly representing remittances by Indians employed overseas, increased by 2.6% y-o-y.

The BoP data also suggests that India's foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis) accreted by $2.5 billion in Q2 2023-24, reversing the depletion of $30.4 billion in Q2 2022-23.

Preliminary data on India’s balance of payments (BoP) for the second quarter (Q2), i.e., July-September 2023-24, are presented in Statements I (BPM6 format) and II (old format).

Key Features of India’s BoP in Q2:2023-24

  • India’s current account balance recorded a deficit of US$ 8.3 billion (1.0 per cent of GDP) in Q2:2023-24, lower than US$ 9.2 billion (1.1 per cent of GDP) in Q1:2023-24 and US$ 30.9 billion (3.8 per cent of GDP) a year ago [i.e., Q2:2022-23]1.

  • Underlying the lower current account deficit on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis in Q2:2023-24 was the narrowing of merchandise trade deficit to US$ 61.0 billion from US$ 78.3 billion in Q2:2022-23.

  • Services exports grew by 4.2 per cent on a y-o-y basis on the back of rising exports of software, business and travel services. Net services receipts increased both sequentially and on a y-o-y basis.

  • Net outgo on the primary income account, primarily reflecting payments of investment income, increased to US$ 12.2 billion from US$ 11.8 billion a year ago.

  • Private transfer receipts, mainly representing remittances by Indians employed overseas, amounted to US$ 28.1 billion, an increase of 2.6 per cent from their level during the corresponding period a year ago.

  • In the financial account, net foreign direct investment witnessed an outflow of US$ 0.3 billion as against an inflow of US$ 6.2 billion in Q2:2022-23.

  • Foreign portfolio investment recorded net inflow of US$ 4.9 billion, lower than US$ 6.5 billion during Q2:2022-23.

  • External commercial borrowings to India recorded net outflow of US$ 1.8 billion in Q2:2023-24 as compared with net outflow of US$ 0.5 billion in Q2:2022-23.

  • Non-resident deposits recorded net inflow of US$ 3.2 billion as compared with net inflow of US$ 2.5 billion in Q2:2022-23.

  • There was an accretion of foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis) to the tune of US$ 2.5 billion in Q2:2023-24 as against a depletion of US$ 30.4 billion in Q2:2022-23 (Table 1).

BoP During April-September 2023 (H1:2023-24)

  • India’s current account deficit moderated to 1.0 per cent of GDP in H1:2023-24 from 2.9 per cent of GDP in H1:2022-23 on the back of a lower merchandise trade deficit.

  • Net invisibles receipts were higher in H1:2023-24 on a y-o-y basis primarily on account of higher net services receipts.

  • Net FDI inflow at US$ 4.8 billion in H1:2023-24 was lower than US$ 19.6 billion in H1:2022-23.

  • Portfolio investment recorded a net inflow of US$ 20.7 billion in H1:2023-24 as against an outflow of US$ 8.1 billion a year ago.

  • In H1:2023-24, there was an accretion of US$ 27.0 billion to the foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis).

Table 1: Major Items of India’s Balance of Payments
(US$ Billion)
  July-September 2023 P July-September 2022 April-September 2023 P April-September 2022
  Credit Debit Net Credit Debit Net Credit Debit Net Credit Debit Net
A. Current Account 231.6 239.9 -8.3 225.3 256.2 -30.9 453.0 470.5 -17.5 456.4 505.2 -48.8
1. Goods 108.5 169.5 -61.0 111.9 190.2 -78.3 213.5 331.1 -117.7 234.6 376.0 -141.4
   Of which:                        
      POL 22.8 40.8 -17.9 23.9 53.4 -29.5 41.8 82.6 -40.7 50.8 106.6 -55.8
2. Services 83.4 43.4 40.0 80.0 45.6 34.4 163.9 88.9 75.1 156.1 90.6 65.5
3. Primary Income 11.6 23.8 -12.2 6.0 17.8 -11.8 20.3 43.1 -22.8 12.5 33.2 -20.6
4. Secondary Income 28.1 3.2 25.0 27.5 2.7 24.8 55.3 7.4 47.9 53.1 5.4 47.7
B. Capital Account and Financial Account 202.5 195.1 7.5 180.3 148.5 31.8 384.3 367.0 17.3 373.2 323.9 49.3
   Of which:                        
Change in Reserves [Increase (-)/Decrease (+)] 0.0 2.5 -2.5 30.4 0.0 30.4 0.0 27.0 -27.0 30.4 4.6 25.8
C. Errors & Omissions (-) (A+B) 0.8 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.9 -0.9 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.9 -0.4
P: Preliminary.
Note: Total of sub-components may not tally with aggregate due to rounding off.

(Yogesh Dayal)      
Chief General Manager

Press Release: 2023-2024/1541


1 https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=55933. For longer time series data, please see: CIMS DBIE (rbi.org.in) ›Statistics › External Sector › International Trade › Quarterly/Yearly.

Highlights content goes here...

Summary

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has released the Preliminary Balance of Payments (BoP) data for the second quarter (July-September) of the 2023-2024 financial year. The report provides an overview of India’s international transactions, including trade, investment, and financial flows.

Key Findings

1. Current Account Deficit (CAD): The CAD for the second quarter of 2023-2024 has moderated to 1.0% of GDP, down from 2.9% in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. This is primarily due to a lower merchandise trade deficit.
2. Services Exports: Services exports have grown by 4.2% on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis, driven by rising exports of software, business, and travel services.
3. Primary Income: Primary income, which includes income from foreign direct investment (FDI), has increased to USD 12.2 billion in the second quarter of 2023-2024, up from USD 11.8 billion in the corresponding quarter of the previous year.
4. Financial Account: The financial account has recorded a net outflow of USD 0.3 billion, down from a net inflow of USD 6.2 billion in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. Net foreign direct investment (FDI) has decreased to USD 4.8 billion in the first half of 2023-2024, compared to USD 19.6 billion in the corresponding period of the previous year.
5. Foreign Exchange Reserves: The RBI’s foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis) have accreted by USD 2.5 billion in the second quarter of 2023-2024, compared to a depletion of USD 30.4 billion in the corresponding quarter of the previous year.

Table 1: Major Items of India’s Balance of Payments

The table provides a detailed breakdown of India’s BoP transactions, including trade, services, primary income, and financial flows.

Conclusion

The RBI’s preliminary BoP data for the second quarter of 2023-2024 highlights a moderation in India’s current account deficit, driven by a lower merchandise trade deficit and rising services exports. However, the financial account has recorded a net outflow, partly due to a decline in net foreign direct investment. The RBI’s foreign exchange reserves have accreted, indicating a stable currency situation. Overall, the data suggests a favorable external sector environment for India.

Reserve Bank of India

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